Sunday, November 2, 2008

Tuesday Election...My 50 State Thoughts

Washington Scandal's state-by-state look at Election Day

State-by-state we look at the race for the White House, some key congressional and gubernatorial campaigns. (Electoral votes in parentheses.)

ALABAMA (9)
This is a McCain state, primarily because of Radical Right Wing Republican Sen. Jeff Sessions.

ALASKA (3)
Smart money says this is running mate Sarah Palin's state, so it is safe for McCain. Not so sure about that, and believe there is a slim chance this state turns blue. The GOP's two big players, convicted GOP Sen. Ted Stevens and Republican Rep. Don Young are in serious trouble, and the state's largest paper endorsed Barack Obama. Further, this state really cannot afford to back a loser in what has been a very contiguous campaign.

ARIZONA (10)
This McCain's home state but it is in play along the fringe...McCain wins it in a close one, but Democrats gain in the House.

ARKANSAS (6)
This one goes for McCain...call it the Good Old Boy/Huckabee factor.

CALIFORNIA (55)
Obama gets the big dog bone! Democrats have a shot at gaining House seat.

COLORADO (9)
Obama has shot in red state...will not go Blue if Republicans get out their base in BIG NUMBERS. Rep. Mark Udall goes back to Washington.

CONNECTICUT (7)
Hands down Obama state...the real question...are his coattails big enough to help the Democrats finally get rid of Rep Chris Shays, a real DIRT BAG?

DELAWARE (3)
Blue state all the way! Joe Biden carries it, and gets re-elected to Senate...Jack Markell keeps Governor's office and will name his (Biden's) replacement.

DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA (3)
Obama's Black Army delivers HUGE WIN!

FLORIDA (27)
Tough fight for Obama and McCain. Democrats in a close one as they get their long awaited revenge from the 2000 election.

GEORGIA (15)
McCain wins only if the Republican BASE comes out big on election day...big early voting turnout gives Obama hope.

HAWAII (4)
Obama wins easily.

IDAHO (4)
McCain wins.

ILLINOIS (21)
Obama's home state is his. Sadly, scum bag Sen. Durbin wins new term. Democrats again will gain at least one seat in house in Illinois.

INDIANA (11) -- Obama might just steal this one.

IOWA (7)
Obama's the favorite. Democratic Sen. Tom Harkin goes back to Washington.

KANSAS (6)
Easy win for McCain in this seriously red neck, good old boy state.

KENTUCKY (8)
McCain. Democrats pick up one House seat.

LOUSIANA (9) -- McCain
Democrat Sen. Mary Landrieu goes back to DC in a close one.

MAINE (4)
Obama wins easily...McCain will not get his one Electoral Vote, the whole TIE SCENARIO down the drain.

MARYLAND (10)
Obama territory. Democrats pick up seat in House.

MASSACHUSETTS (12)
Obama win. Sen. John Kerry gets new term.

MICHIGAN (17)
McCain conceded state to Obama. Democratic Sen. Carl Levin wins easily.

MINNESOTA (10)
Obama's base, wins easily. Al Franken wins on Obama Coattails...right place right time, or as they say, timing is everything.

MISSISSIPPI (6)
McCain.

MISSOURI (11)
Classic swing state that I am predicting goes BLUE in a close one. Democrat Jay Nixon's strong run for Governor may carry this one for Obama.

MONTANA (3)
McCain. Obama's push for this state started to late! Plus, this is Cheney territory.

NEBRASKA (5)
McCain. However, think Obama has a real shot at pealing off one Electoral Vote.

NEVADA (5)
This one goes Blue...Latino vote puts Obama over the top.

NEW HAMPSHIRE (4) -- Obama wins.

NEW JERSEY (15)
Safe for Obama. Democrats pick up two seats in house on Obama coattails.

NEW MEXICO (5)
Obama in a close one...Democrats pick up another two house seats.

NORTH CAROLINA (15)
This state I think is going to ride on how people reach to Elizabeth Dole's egregious attack. If she wins, North Carolina goes Red, but if Dole goes down to defeat, North Carolina is an Obama Blue state.

NORTH DAKOTA (3)
Leaning McCain. This is almost certainly going to end up Red.

OHIO (20)
Obama ahead in a must win for McCain. I think this state goes blue with a strong turn out of the youth vote. Democrats pick up at least one House seat.

OKLAHOMA (7)
McCain's.

OREGON (7)
Obama easy winner.

PENNSYLVANIA (21)
Obama ahead in polls...how this state ends up may depend on Murtha being forgiven, or not being forgiven. The Ashley Todd situation may have helped give this to the Democrats when all is said and done.

RHODE ISLAND (4)
Part of Obama base. Democratic Sen. Jack Reed sure bet.

SOUTH CAROLINA (8)
McCain's.

SOUTH DAKOTA (3)
McCain. Democratic Sen. Tim Johnson safe.

TENNESSEE (11)
Easy win McCain.

TEXAS (34)
McCain...he can thank Bush for Texas.

UTAH (5)
McCain.

VERMONT (3)
Obama territory.

VIRGINIA (13)
Obama ahead in traditionally Republican state. This would be where the Bradley effect could rear its ugly head. Democrats gain at least one seat in House.

WASHINGTON (11)
Obama in cake walk.

WEST VIRGINIA (5)
The Economy could see Obama sneak in a win in a state that should go to McCain. West Virginia may vote with their pocket books, decide it is better to back a winner.

WISCONSIN (10)
Obama. Democratic Rep. Steve Kagen could be in trouble.

WYOMING (3)
McCain Red state all the way.

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